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34. Metternich,Aus Metterniachgelassenen Papieren, 1:33, 8:184. 35. Algernon Cecil,Metternich, 1773ndash;1859 (London: Eyre and Spottiswood, 1947), 52. 36. Metternich,Aus Metterniachgelassenen Papieren, 1:334. 37.Briefwechsel des Generals Leopold von Gerlach mit dem BuagsGesato von Bismarck(Berlin, 1893), 334. 38. Ibid. (February 20, 1854), 130. 39. Horst Kohl,Die politis Reden des Fursten Bismarck (Stuttgart, 1892), 264. 40. Bismarck,Die gesammelten Werke (November 14, 1833), vol. 14,nos. 1, 3. 41. Ibid. (September 29, 1851), 1:62. 42. Speech of February 9, 1871, in Hansard,Parliamentary Debates,ser. 3, vol. 204 (Februaryndash;March 1871), 82. 43. 与此形成鲜明对照的是,为普鲁士赢得统一德国的战争的战略家老毛奇当时曾计划在两条战线上采取守势。 44. For stimulating ats of these developments, see Christopher Clark,The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went to War in 1914 (New York: HarperCollins, 2013) and Margaret MacMillan,The War That Ended Peace: The Road to 1914 (New York: Random House, 2013). 45. See John Maynard Keyhe Eisequences of the Peaew York: Macmillan, 1920), Chapter 5. 46. See Chapters 6 and 7. 第三章 伊斯兰主义和中东:世界乱局 1. Adda B. Bozeman, Iran: U.S. Fn Polid the Tradition of Persian Statecraft,Orbis 23, no. 2 (Summer 1979): 397. 2. See Hugh Kehe Great Arab quests: How the Spread of Islam ged the World We Live In(London: Weidenfeld Nicholson,2007), 34ndash;40. 3. Kennedy,Great Arab quests, 113. 4. See generally Marshall G. S. Hodgson,The Venture of Islam: sd History in a Wor